@GoalMargin

GoalMargin

The numbers before kickoff.

Before every big game: each side's form, the head-to-head, and our model's prediction. Short, factual, no hype.

Latest videos

Who wins Group H? | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

Who wins Group L? | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

Who wins Group J? | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

Who wins Group I? | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

Who wins the World Cup? | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

The safest group winners | World Cup 2026 #Shorts

Model track record

78%

Favourite: 69 won · 19 drew · 12 lost

Weighted: win=1, draw=½ · 100 decided games.

Sun, Jul 19Model called it

Spain vs Argentina

1:0

ESP 62% advance · ARG 39% advanceModel's call: 1:1

Sat, Jul 18Model missed

France vs England

4:6

FRA 67% advance · ENG 33% advanceModel's call: 1:1

Wed, Jul 15Model called it open

England vs Argentina

1:2

ENG 53% advance · ARG 47% advanceModel's call: 1:1

Tue, Jul 14Model missed

France vs Spain

0:2

FRA 57% advance · ESP 43% advanceModel's call: 1:1

New videos every matchday, straight to your phone.